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Will the 2015 Z06 experience partial constraints at some point during the model year?

Harlan Charles and Kirk Bennion @ Corvette Corral: Rolex 24 Hours

GM is on place to produce about 32,500 StingRays this year. Sales and orders are brisk, to the point that certain desired options have been on constraint for months, will no definitive end to constraints in sight. In short, the 2014 StingRay is a huge hit, with some of its speciality-part suppliers unable to keep up with demands for those few parts, e.g. carbon fiber roofs, CF dash, competition seats, and the Z-51 package. In all fairness to GM, there are about 5,000 parts in the StingRay, with only six options currently being on partial or full constraint. Also, the constrained parts are complex to manufacture at a reasonable price (a Corvette hallmark). Unfortunately, this pattern of a few parts/options being constrained, may well be repeated in 2015, for at least some Z06 options.

In the video link below, Harlan Charles, Corvette Product Marketing Manager, stated that the 2015 Z06 will not have a defined "hard limit" total production amount, adding that he expected sales to be consistent with early C6 Z06 sales (which averaged 7,000 units annually 2006-2008). That's the good news, for interest in the Z06, especially with its monster power plant, removable coupe roof, powerful looks, expected supercar performance capabilities, and its debuting the eight-speed automatic trans, is intense! Based on Harlan's comment, GM is approximating Z06 sales could be as much as 20% of all 2015 Corvette sales -- though probably will end up being less than that due to delayed "late this year, or early next year" start of production.

However, in the next sentence Harlan made, after saying that their is no hard limit to Z06 production, he cautioned that production of specific specialized options could be "supplier limited." Harlan specifically mentioned carbon-ceramic brakes -- an integral part of the Z07 package, as one possibility. He also said that certain carbon fiber and ground effects pieces could also be supplier limited.

For all those who have been effected by StingRay constraints or read about those constraints, and are going to order a Z06, you might want to consider ordering early, and ordering from a dealership that you know will have a good allocation. GM is probably months away from announcing 2015 Corvette allocation amounts, and as of yet, GM hasn't yet given dealerships any information on their 2015 Corvette allocations. When they do, those allocations will be broken into three distinct, non-transferable categories, e.g., coupes, convertibles and the Z06's. GM has not yet told the dealerships on what basis 2015 allocations will be awarded, though many believe that they will be based solely on total 2014 StingRay sales (not reflecting or giving "bonus allocations nor demerits" based on Z06 nor ZR1 sales a few years ago). However, even that is everyone's "best guess" at this point.

A top-five Corvette allocation dealer has already stopped taking "Z06 deposits," because he does not want to "over promise and under deliver." Their priority deposit list is significantly less than the total amount of Z06's that dealership is expecting to receive, and while they are continuing to take names, in order, for their subsequent Z06 priority list, they are not now taking deposits for their next-tier Z06 list.

That dealership is not alone, for another Corvette top-five allocation will not give you your Z06 priority number at this time, though again they will take your name and other relevant info.

Another top-five Corvette dealer is taking refundable deposits for Z06's at this time, and expects to do so for a while. That dealership noted, as have others, that when deposits are placed this far in advance, more than a few later request their deposits back due to a change in financial, family, business, medical or similar circumstances.

If you are planning to order a Z06, waiting to place your order will increase the chances your Z06 could be subject to constraints, just like current StingRay constraints. While waiting to order certain products might be advisable, waiting to order your 2015 Z06 is probably not prudent, especially as, with deliveries starting late this year or the first of next year, the 2015 Z06 production year will be comparatively short. Of course, similar to those who chose a while ago to wait for the second year of StingRay production, some will deliberately wait a year, then place their order for a 2016 Z06.

Whether your Z06 order is subject to constraint is, therefore, a lot dependent on when you place your order, and whether you place your order with dealerships who have a proven record of selling Corvettes (dealerships consequently having a probability of receiving a good 2015 Z06 allocation).

 

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Just curious, will constraints mean that we can't get the car we want as ordered, or does it just mean we might have to wait longer to get it? I have no problem taking delivery in May as long as I get the car I want.
 

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Discussion Starter · #5 ·
Good question. Most of the time constraints come and go, as suppliers get caught up and fall behind, have a problem batch, then fix it so the next batch is accepted by GM. This should be true in your case as I know you have a specific allocation for a Z06. However in very rare circumstances an option constraint exists for months and months and months, and GM is never satisfied with a supplier part, and has been occasionally known to therefore cancel that particular option. Very rarely, but this has been known to occur. We have already been told by Product Manager Harlan Charles to expect Z06 constraints for 1) the carbon ceramic brakes and 2) for certain aerodynamic pieces -- though he was not specific as to which aero pieces he was referring.

Are there specific options that you are planning on ordering, that you are concerned that they may be subject to constraint?
 

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I was hoping to get the roof and level 2 aero in visible carbon. I know the roof was on constraint last year for a while. Just wondering if the combo will make it an even longer wait.
 

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Discussion Starter · #7 ·
As your constraints multiply, the higher the probability that any order will be delayed. For example, if an order has two constraints, 50% and 40%, then, overall, the chances of that order being accepted/moving forward mathematically diminishes to 20%.

Of course, constraints change, as often as weekly; for example today, for the first time ever for a StingRay, we have chrome wheels on constraint. They of course, can go away next Thursday, or remain for weeks.

I have the same question/concern about the stage 2 aero package as you do, and my plan will be to closely monitor constraints for the few weeks before my order goes in, and my having a great dealer, they automatically do this anyway, and consistent with all good dealers, when it is time to submit my order, if any constraint issues, they will call me, ask me if I am willing to compromise.

Note this is not true of all dealers, for some who have priority order lists, when GM states that there is a total constraint on all "pink cars," will not call that specific customer and ask, "are you willing to change your color," skip calling you entirely and instead go down their order list to the first customer who doesn't have pink paint. A great dealer can be your best ally to help during difficult constraint times.
 

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As your constraints multiply, the higher the probability that any order will be delayed. For example, if an order has two constraints, 50% and 40%, then, overall, the chances of that order being accepted/moving forward mathematically diminishes to 20%.

Of course, constraints change, as often as weekly; for example today, for the first time ever for a StingRay, we have chrome wheels on constraint. They of course, can go away next Thursday, or remain for weeks.

I have the same question/concern about the stage 2 aero package as you do, and my plan will be to closely monitor constraints for the few weeks before my order goes in, and my having a great dealer, they automatically do this anyway, and consistent with all good dealers, when it is time to submit my order, if any constraint issues, they will call me, ask me if I am willing to compromise.

Note this is not true of all dealers, for some who have priority order lists, when GM states that there is a total constraint on all "pink cars," will not call that specific customer and ask, "are you willing to change your color," skip calling you entirely and instead go down their order list to the first customer who doesn't have pink paint. A great dealer can be your best ally to help during difficult constraint times.
Is there a specific source that is continually updated to show CURRENT Z06 CONSTRAINTS ?

Im on a Z06 "List" and my Dealer called today asking for my Z06 Convertible Order

I want a simple, Stage 1, Laguna Blue Z06 (G7H) Convertible (Black top and interior), with: 2LZ, J6E, M5U, and Q6J. Hoping the 8 speed auto in my only "constraint" ( planning to get aftermarket CFZ to avoid order delay now)
 

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